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Ligue 1 FT Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Lens
Lens
Home
W W D L W
8th place
-
Full Time
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Lens Win
60% Probability
Lyon
Away
D L W W L
10th place
Our Prediction β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.57
60% probability Β· 4/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 1
xG (Goals)
2.14 – 0.92
πŸ“ˆ Home Edge 60% 🎯 Proj. 2 – 1
Win Probability
Lens 60%
Draw 20%
Lyon 19%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Lens
Draw
Lyon
Our AI tips 1 β€” 60% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Lens meet Lyon in the Ligue 1 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis on 2026-10-09 18:45 UTC.

Host side Lens enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Lyon arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Lens hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Lyon and 1 draws.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 63% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 60% β€” model expects 2.12–1.12 (Lens 60% Β· draw 20% Β· Lyon 19%; over 2.5 63%, BTTS 59%).
🎯 Prediction: Lens to win 2-1 Model Confidence: 60%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
6.0
Prediction Index
1
60%
Home
X
20%
Draw
2
19%
Away
66% Recent form 46%
95% Attack 84%
52% Defence 28%
60% Head-to-head 20%
60% Win probability 19%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60% 1.57
Double Chance
1X
80% 1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63% 1.49
Both Teams To Score
No analysis for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 3 (xG Home: 2.14, xG Away: 0.92). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 63%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
D L W W L
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Lens demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2 PPG compared to Lyon's 1.4 PPG.
Head to Head
3
1
Draws
1
09 May 2026 Lens 1 – 0 Lyon
09 Dec 2025 Lyon 0 – 2 Lens
09 Jul 2025 Lens 3 – 0 Lyon
09 Feb 2025 Lyon 0 – 0 Lens
09 Sep 2024 Lens 1 – 0 Lyon
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Lens hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Lyon and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
8 Lens Lens 24 15 6 3 +12 51
10 Ly Lyon 24 10 8 6 +12 38

Lens vs Lyon Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Ligue 1.

Lens meet Lyon in the Ligue 1 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis on 2026-10-09 18:45 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Lens enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Lyon arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Lens hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Lyon and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 63% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.06 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.14 home, 0.92 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (63%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Lens to win 2-1 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.57.
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